Analysis

Freight indices slipped again in July, but every segment sits above a year ago

Diesel's near-47% annual jump is the line eating those gains, while reefer and household-goods rates lead the year higher.


The producer price index for all trucking fell 1.9% in July to 205.4, and the softness ran right across the board. General freight was down 2.3%, less-than-truckload down 4.6%, specialized and flatbed off around 0.7%, and even short-radius local work slipped 0.3%. On the month, nothing rose.

Step back to the year, though, and the picture flips. All trucking is up 8.2% on July 2025. General freight is up 8.7%, LTL up 10.7%, and the two standouts -- refrigerated and household-goods moving -- are up 14.7% and 15.5%. Every freight line the Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks is priced above where it sat twelve months ago. July was a dip in a line that is still well off its floor.

These are index numbers, not dollars a mile. The PPI measures change from a December 2003 base, blends contract with spot business, and July's readings are preliminary and can revise. The all-trucking figure is a weighted blend that can hide segments moving in opposite directions -- which is exactly what the monthly and annual numbers are doing right now, so read it as a headline, not a decision.

The one line moving against the driver is fuel. The national average retail diesel price rose 3.8% to $5.454 a gallon in the week of 17 August and is up 46.9% on the year -- the single biggest annual move on the board, and a cost, not revenue. It is a pump average including taxes: fleets buying on contract at truck stops pay less, and the gap widens when prices jump like this, so treat it as direction. Still, a rate index up 8% against a fuel line up 47% is the squeeze in one sentence, and it is why the surcharge math matters more than the monthly rate wobble.

The segment holding up best week to week is reefer. Produce reefer rates averaged $4.21 a mile in the week to 25 August, up 1.8% on the week and 14.7% on the year. That average is produce-only and an unweighted mean across whichever lanes were running, so it shifts with the growing season and the lane table tells you more than the headline -- but the direction is up, and it is the cold trailer, again, carrying the load.

So the read for the week: the monthly softening is real and it is broad, but you are still hauling at rates well above a year ago in every segment, with reefer and household-goods moving leading the way. The thing eating those gains is diesel, not a rate collapse.

**Elsewhere this week**

- Momentum is building in Congress for higher truck weight limits under the Build America 250 Act. (The Trucker)
- Cross-border freight between Texas and Mexico is surging, with Nuevo Leon's governor pitching a border boom. (FreightWaves)
- U.S. port volumes slowed in July despite pockets of strength. (Transport Topics)


Elsewhere
Data behind this story
Figure 1

Truck transportation, all

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics All trucking. A weighted blend of everything below it, so it can mask segments moving in opposite directions. Useful as a headline, poor for a decision.
Figure 2

General freight trucking

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics General freight. Includes local delivery, which behaves nothing like long-haul.
Figure 3

General freight trucking, long-distance less-than-truckload

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics LTL. LTL pricing is set very differently from truckload -- published tariffs, negotiated discounts and accessorials -- so this index is not comparable to the truckload one in level, only in direction. NAICS 484122.
Figure 4

Used household and office goods moving

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Household goods. Highly seasonal and consumer-driven; unrelated to freight cycles.
Figure 5

Specialized freight trucking, local

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Local specialized. Short-radius work; its economics have little to do with over-the-road.
Figure 6

Refrigerated produce truck rate, national average

Dollars per mile Source: USDA Agricultural Marketing Service Reefer rate per mile. Refrigerated produce only, and an unweighted mean across whichever lanes were active that week -- so the mix shifts with the growing season. Treat week-to-week moves in the lane table as more meaningful than in this average.
Figure 7

On-highway diesel price, National average

Dollars per gallon Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration National average. A retail pump average including taxes, surveyed every Monday. Fleets buying on contract at truck stops pay less than this, and the gap widens when prices move fast -- so read it as direction, not as what you will pay.