Analysis

LTL rates jumped 4.5% in August while flatbed slipped 0.8%

Two freight segments that usually move together split in August, and less-than-truckload was the side with the pricing power.


Less-than-truckload rates rose 4.5% in August to 306.8 on the Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price index, while long-distance specialized freight — the nearest public proxy for flatbed — slipped 0.8% to 166.2. The two segments usually drift in the same direction. In August they pulled apart.

For a carrier with the flexibility to choose its freight, the read is plain: LTL is where the pricing power sat in August. It was the strongest gainer among the trucking segments, and at 306.8 it is 14.3% above where it stood a year ago. Trade press has been describing the same pickup from the shipping side — Transport Topics reported this week that LTL tonnage kept climbing into the third quarter as the freight recovery took hold.

Flatbed's fall is real and worth naming: down 0.8% on the month. But it comes off a high base. The specialized index is still 8.0% above a year ago, so August was a segment giving back a little ground, not a segment in trouble. If you run a flatbed or step-deck, the month was softer; if you can pivot toward LTL-style freight, it paid better.

Both of these are indices, not rates. They track change from a December 2003 base rather than dollars per mile, and they blend contract with spot business, so they turn later and more gently than the spot market does. The two are also not comparable to each other in level — LTL pricing is built from published tariffs, negotiated discounts and accessorials, so read the 306.8 against the 166.2 for direction only, never as one segment paying 'more' than the other.

The flatbed line is also broader than flatbed alone: BLS category 484230 covers every kind of specialized long-distance hauling except household goods, because no free source isolates flatbed by itself. Treat it as the specialized-freight signal it is.

Both August figures are preliminary and can be revised next month. The direction, though, is the story: for one month the LTL and specialized markets stopped moving together, and LTL was the side that firmed.


Elsewhere
Data behind this story
Figure 1

General freight trucking, long-distance less-than-truckload

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics LTL. LTL pricing is set very differently from truckload -- published tariffs, negotiated discounts and accessorials -- so this index is not comparable to the truckload one in level, only in direction. NAICS 484122.
Figure 2

Specialized freight trucking, long-distance

Index, Dec 2003 = 100 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Flatbed and specialized. The nearest public proxy for flatbed, but it is broader than flatbed alone: NAICS 484230 covers every kind of specialised long-distance hauling except household goods. No free source isolates flatbed by itself.