LTL rates fell 4.6% in July, the steepest drop of any freight segment
Less-than-truckload led a broad July softening, though it is still 10.7% higher than a year ago.
Long-distance less-than-truckload rates fell 4.6% in July to 293.7 on the Bureau of Labor Statistics producer price index, the steepest one-month drop of any trucking segment the index tracks.
The rest of the market softened too, but by less. Dry van truckload fell 1.3% to 195.6, and long-distance specialised freight — the nearest public proxy for flatbed — fell 1.2% to 168.2. The all-trucking index fell 1.9%. LTL dropped roughly three to four times as fast as the truckload segments.
That gap is the story. LTL and truckload usually drift in the same direction; in July, LTL pulled sharply away from the pack. For a small carrier, a move this size in a single month is the kind of thing that turns up in what shippers are willing to pay a quarter later.
The fall does not erase the year. LTL is still 10.7% higher than it was a year ago, so July reads as one hard month off a high base, not a collapse.
A word on what the number is. LTL pricing is set very differently from truckload — published tariffs, negotiated discounts and accessorials — so this index is not comparable to the truckload one in level, only in direction (NAICS 484122). It is also an index rather than a rate: it tracks change from a base period, not dollars per hundredweight, and it blends contract with spot business, so it turns later and more gently than a spot quote would. July's reading is preliminary and may be revised.
What it means: the broad softening that has run through freight this summer landed hardest on LTL in July. Whether it holds is next month's question, not this one.
Data behind this story
- Producer Price Index U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Public domain (U.S. Government work)